Alexander Kerfoot vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Hertl 54.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kerfoot
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Kerfoot
Hertl
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kerfoot
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Kerfoot
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
2
Kerfoot
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
53.8% (8,268)
-5.1%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
59.3% (1,975)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
46.3% (806)
-6.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,110).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hertl
Home
51.0% (1,786)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hertl
P1
47.2%
53.6%
P2
46.0%
54.1%
P3
50.4%
55.3%
OT
29.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |