Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.9% vs Paul 50.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 72.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Wennberg
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Wennberg
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (986)
53.0% (644)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.4% (144)
37.5% (24)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
42.9% (177)
+8.8%
On power play, Wennberg has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Wennberg is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Wennberg shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Paul
Home
46.4% (621)
52.5% (516)
Away
46.9% (569)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Wennberg
Paul
P1
42.9%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
48.4%
P3
47.6%
54.5%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |