Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Paul 53.4% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 76.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 78.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Wennberg
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Wennberg
Paul
Last 9: Wennberg 6-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
1
Wennberg
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
53.8% (753)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
58.9% (90)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
47.4% (78)
-5.7%
On power play, Paul has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Wennberg shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Paul
Home
46.1% (661)
54.2% (450)
Away
45.1% (714)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Wennberg
Paul
P1
48.5%
58.2%
P2
42.6%
50.6%
P3
46.3%
52.9%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |