Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Paul 53.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 76.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 51.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 67.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Wennberg
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Wennberg
Paul
Last 10: Wennberg 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Wennberg
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
7
1
Wennberg
Paul
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
3
5
Wennberg
Paul
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
53.1% (710)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
57.3% (199)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
58.0% (69)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Paul
Home
48.6% (629)
56.0% (466)
Away
44.0% (559)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Wennberg
Paul
P1
48.3%
57.2%
P2
48.7%
54.9%
P3
42.6%
51.5%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OT | 02:22 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 01:43 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |