Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Paul 50.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 57.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 51.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Wennberg
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
48.8% (666)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
53.8% (65)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
60.0% (55)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Paul
Home
47.2% (489)
49.7% (348)
Away
47.8% (580)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Wennberg
Paul
P1
47.1%
51.0%
P2
48.1%
47.4%
P3
47.5%
51.5%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |