Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.2% vs Hughes 38.0% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Lafrenière
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (38)
34.5% (342)
-2.9%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
42.9% (7)
-22.9%
On power play, Hughes has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
26.9% (26)
32.6% (187)
Away
31.8% (22)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
26.7%
33.9%
P2
29.2%
34.2%
P3
33.3%
36.5%
Final 5 min
25.0%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
29.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%