Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 45.3% vs Hughes 39.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Lafrenière
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lafrenière
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Lafrenière
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
31.4% (35)
37.9% (623)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
44.4% (18)
36.6% (314)
Away
23.8% (21)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
26.7%
36.4%
P2
35.3%
35.6%
P3
42.9%
41.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
33.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |