Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 23.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 40.4% vs Hughes 40.3% (-11.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 56.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.2%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 60.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Lafrenière
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
24.6% (65)
35.6% (281)
-11.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (36)
+50.0%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 23.9% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
25.0% (24)
38.4% (198)
Away
26.2% (42)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
16.1%
44.3%
P2
30.4%
34.2%
P3
41.7%
34.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
25.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%