Scouting Report
Alexis Lafrenière holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.3% vs Hughes 37.9% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 53.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Lafrenière
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (70)
34.9% (444)
-0.6%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (14)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
46.7% (30)
37.4% (235)
Away
30.4% (46)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
40.0%
37.1%
P2
48.3%
33.7%
P3
25.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
37.5%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
36.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%