Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.6% vs Hughes 39.8% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lafrenière
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (32)
36.8% (266)
-11.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
14.3% (7)
-14.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
6.7% (15)
35.1% (148)
Away
38.9% (18)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
30.0%
43.0%
P2
0.0%
28.7%
P3
28.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
24.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%