Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Matthews 58.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 51.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Copp
Matthews
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Matthews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
3
Copp
Matthews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Matthews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
59.8% (848)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
64.9% (37)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
56.3% (87)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
54.4% (408)
60.0% (520)
Away
53.4% (410)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
53.3%
60.2%
P2
54.1%
58.2%
P3
54.9%
60.4%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |