Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Matthews 56.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 52.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
58.3% (943)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
55.7% (61)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.7% (219)
-3.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
52.0% (348)
59.1% (528)
Away
49.1% (279)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
48.4%
56.2%
P2
50.2%
58.1%
P3
53.4%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |