Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.4%). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Matthews 53.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 59.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 69.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.4% (1,169)
+0.7%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
65.8% (76)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
41.9% (74)
+0.3%
On power play, Copp has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
51.9% (511)
56.5% (703)
Away
55.3% (490)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
54.1%
52.1%
P2
54.2%
54.0%
P3
52.5%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |