Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Matthews 52.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 69.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Copp
Matthews
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
4
Copp
Matthews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
3
Copp
Matthews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
52.7% (1,015)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
34.6% (26)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
75.0% (8)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
51.3% (667)
54.8% (515)
Away
48.3% (632)
50.2% (534)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
50.2%
54.4%
P2
51.8%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |