Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Matthews 55.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 68.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
56.3% (1,167)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
57.5% (40)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
50.0% (22)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
54.6% (346)
60.7% (572)
Away
51.8% (363)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
55.3%
60.3%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
55.1%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |