Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Copp wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Matthews 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 58.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Copp
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Copp
Matthews
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Matthews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
6
Copp
Matthews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Matthews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
52.2% (795)
-2.9%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
52.5% (40)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
43.8% (32)
+4.0%
On power play, Copp has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Copp is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Copp shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Copp
Matthews
Home
53.5% (114)
53.5% (454)
Away
52.5% (118)
50.1% (413)
By Period
Copp
Matthews
P1
53.2%
54.8%
P2
52.5%
52.2%
P3
54.3%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |