Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.7%). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs McDavid 53.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
McDavid
Last 5: Copp 3-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
54.3% (1,002)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
44.8% (29)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
33.3% (15)
+12.7%
On power play, Copp has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
54.6% (346)
53.6% (507)
Away
51.8% (363)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
55.3%
52.6%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
55.1%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |