Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs McDavid 51.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 51.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 68.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 60.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Copp
McDavid
Last 8: Copp 3-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Copp
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
51.5% (889)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
63.9% (36)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
51.2% (86)
-5.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
51.3% (667)
50.7% (513)
Away
48.3% (632)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
50.2%
52.3%
P2
51.8%
51.6%
P3
48.0%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |