Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs McDavid 47.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Copp
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
47.5% (650)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
48.6% (72)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
46.5% (43)
-0.9%
On power play, Copp has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
54.4% (408)
50.2% (400)
Away
53.4% (410)
44.7% (365)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
53.3%
47.5%
P2
54.1%
48.6%
P3
54.9%
46.7%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |