Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs McDavid 51.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 75.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Copp
McDavid
Last 6: Copp 1-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
3
Copp
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Copp
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
51.6% (803)
+2.5%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
50.0% (40)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
36.4% (22)
+5.8%
On power play, Copp has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
51.9% (511)
51.8% (415)
Away
55.3% (490)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
54.1%
47.5%
P2
54.2%
51.6%
P3
52.5%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |