Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs McDavid 47.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 57.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Copp
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
47.7% (715)
+3.5%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
51.9% (52)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
22.2% (9)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
52.0% (348)
47.3% (387)
Away
49.1% (279)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
48.4%
47.6%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |