Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Tavares 57.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 52.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Copp
Tavares
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Copp
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
58.0% (914)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
57.0% (235)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
57.9% (19)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
54.4% (408)
57.8% (614)
Away
53.4% (410)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
53.3%
58.0%
P2
54.1%
56.9%
P3
54.9%
58.4%
OT
20.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |