Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 42-42 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 74.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
42
(84 meetings)
42
42
Copp
Tavares
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
23
Copp
Tavares
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
23
9
Copp
Tavares
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
11
10
Copp
Tavares
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
54.0% (16,108)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
56.5% (4,283)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.6% (620)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
52.7% (3,528)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
53.0%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
39.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |