Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
Tavares
Last 5: Copp 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Copp
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
60.9% (1,043)
-7.3%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
60.4% (278)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
47.6% (21)
-1.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
54.6% (346)
63.5% (684)
Away
51.8% (363)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
55.3%
60.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
55.1%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
92.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |