Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 87.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 66.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Tavares
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Copp
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
59.2% (1,035)
-5.1%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
60.0% (310)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
42.9% (7)
-0.7%
On power play, Copp has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
51.9% (511)
57.5% (668)
Away
55.3% (490)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
54.1%
58.0%
P2
54.2%
60.1%
P3
52.5%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |