Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 59.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 78.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 67.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Copp
Tavares
Last 10: Copp 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
12
Copp
Tavares
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
11
4
Copp
Tavares
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
6
Copp
Tavares
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
57.5% (914)
-7.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
60.5% (309)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
59.1% (22)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
51.3% (667)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.3% (632)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
50.2%
58.6%
P2
51.8%
57.8%
P3
48.0%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |