Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Tavares
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Copp
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
57.7% (998)
-6.5%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
60.5% (271)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
56.4% (39)
-8.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
52.0% (348)
59.7% (610)
Away
49.1% (279)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
48.4%
57.2%
P2
50.2%
58.5%
P3
53.4%
59.4%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |