Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 5: Copp 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Copp
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
45.8% (755)
+7.8%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
48.3% (60)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
27.6% (29)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
54.6% (346)
49.5% (396)
Away
51.8% (363)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
55.3%
50.2%
P2
50.0%
43.8%
P3
55.1%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |