Andrew Copp vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 29-20 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 53.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 80.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 72.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
20
(49 meetings)
29
20
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 10: Copp 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
12
Copp
MacKinnon
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
14
4
Copp
MacKinnon
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
10
4
Copp
MacKinnon
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
46.1% (11,218)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
53.3% (1,412)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
42.8% (502)
+2.5%
On even strength, Copp has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
52.7% (3,528)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
53.0%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
51.4%
46.1%
OT
39.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |