Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 56.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 83.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 80.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 10: Copp 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Copp
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
1
Copp
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
44.7% (1,053)
+5.6%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
36.8% (95)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
65.0% (20)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
51.3% (667)
49.4% (553)
Away
48.3% (632)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
50.2%
45.3%
P2
51.8%
42.7%
P3
48.0%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |