Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 6: Copp 3-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
50.0% (992)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
64.9% (148)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
34.4% (32)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (408)
53.3% (591)
Away
53.4% (410)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
53.3%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
53.2%
P3
54.9%
50.8%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |