Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.7%). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Copp
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Copp
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
55.4% (771)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
57.1% (7)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
45.5% (165)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
54.6% (346)
58.2% (462)
Away
51.8% (363)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
55.3%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
55.1%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |