Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Copp wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Dowd 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 84.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Copp
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
52.2% (835)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
60.0% (10)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.0% (350)
+3.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
52.0% (348)
51.5% (619)
Away
49.1% (279)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
48.4%
51.7%
P2
50.2%
51.6%
P3
53.4%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |