Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 79.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Copp
Dowd
Last 7: Copp 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Copp
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Copp
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
55.2% (625)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
57.1% (7)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
38.2% (220)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
51.3% (667)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.3% (632)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
50.2%
48.8%
P2
51.8%
49.3%
P3
48.0%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |