Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 91.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 72.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Copp
Dowd
Last 6: Copp 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
1
Copp
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
49.2% (778)
+4.9%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
58.3% (12)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
44.0% (234)
-1.8%
On power play, Copp has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
51.9% (511)
46.3% (492)
Away
55.3% (490)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
54.1%
49.1%
P2
54.2%
48.2%
P3
52.5%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |