Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 78.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 72.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
14
(35 meetings)
21
14
Copp
Dowd
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
10
2
Copp
Dowd
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
8
Copp
Dowd
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
7
4
Copp
Dowd
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
56.1% (164)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
44.1% (1,635)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
52.7% (3,528)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
53.0%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
51.4%
50.3%
OT
39.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |