Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.0%). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Sturm 52.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 75.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 69.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Copp
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Copp
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
54.0% (480)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
28.6% (7)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
50.0% (102)
-4.0%
On power play, Copp has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Copp
Sturm
Home
54.6% (346)
54.0% (287)
Away
51.8% (363)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Copp
Sturm
P1
55.3%
53.5%
P2
50.0%
51.0%
P3
55.1%
55.1%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |