Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Sturm 59.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 78.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 89.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 78.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Copp
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Copp
Sturm
Last 8: Copp 7-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
60.6% (708)
-6.5%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
61.1% (18)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
56.4% (101)
-14.2%
On power play, Copp has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Copp
Sturm
Home
51.9% (511)
61.6% (451)
Away
55.3% (490)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Copp
Sturm
P1
54.1%
55.9%
P2
54.2%
58.9%
P3
52.5%
64.6%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |