Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Sturm 55.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 73.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 73.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 71.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Copp
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Sturm
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Copp
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Copp
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
56.1% (716)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
67.7% (31)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
51.1% (133)
-5.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Copp
Sturm
Home
51.3% (667)
55.6% (412)
Away
48.3% (632)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Copp
Sturm
P1
50.2%
59.6%
P2
51.8%
52.0%
P3
48.0%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |