Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Sturm 56.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 74.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Copp
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Copp
Sturm
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Copp
Sturm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
4
Copp
Sturm
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
57.1% (2,719)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
61.3% (62)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
51.0% (498)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Copp
Sturm
Home
52.7% (3,528)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Copp
Sturm
P1
53.0%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
54.9%
P3
51.4%
57.4%
OT
39.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |