Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 82.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 66.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 65.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Copp
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Copp
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
62.1% (356)
-10.9%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
75.0% (4)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
38.7% (62)
+8.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Copp
Sturm
Home
52.0% (348)
61.8% (191)
Away
49.1% (279)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Copp
Sturm
P1
48.4%
58.0%
P2
50.2%
57.9%
P3
53.4%
60.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |