Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Novak 46.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 75.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 86.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 78.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Copp
Novak
Last 5: Copp 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Copp
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
43.2% (118)
+10.4%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
47.8% (23)
+11.0%
On power play, Copp has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
54.6% (346)
50.7% (71)
Away
51.8% (363)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
55.3%
44.7%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |