Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Novak 43.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 73.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 77.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Copp
Novak
Last 10: Copp 3-7 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
4
Copp
Novak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Novak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
42.1% (1,539)
+10.3%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
51.9% (133)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.0% (2)
-4.7%
On even strength, Copp has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
52.7% (3,528)
45.3% (814)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
53.0%
43.9%
P2
51.4%
42.8%
P3
51.4%
41.7%
OT
39.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |