Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Novak 45.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Copp
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Copp
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
43.8% (384)
+6.5%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
58.8% (17)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
100.0% (1)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
51.3% (667)
46.5% (202)
Away
48.3% (632)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
50.2%
49.2%
P2
51.8%
44.2%
P3
48.0%
40.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |