Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Novak 45.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 59.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Copp
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
42.9% (198)
+8.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
40.9% (22)
+5.3%
On even strength, Copp has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
52.0% (348)
40.9% (110)
Away
49.1% (279)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
48.4%
39.1%
P2
50.2%
43.9%
P3
53.4%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |