Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Novak 43.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 76.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 54.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 66.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Novak
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Copp
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
41.4% (379)
+12.9%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
46.9% (32)
+10.5%
On even strength, Copp has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
54.4% (408)
42.6% (195)
Away
53.4% (410)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
53.3%
42.4%
P2
54.1%
39.2%
P3
54.9%
44.7%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |