Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Mercer 45.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 63.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Cirelli
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
43.2% (148)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
40.0% (10)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
28.6% (7)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mercer
Home
52.4% (462)
39.0% (82)
Away
50.1% (369)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Cirelli
Mercer
P1
50.7%
45.5%
P2
49.6%
44.0%
P3
53.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |