Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Mercer 43.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 62.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Cirelli
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Cirelli
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
41.0% (212)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
35.7% (14)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
36.4% (11)
+12.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mercer
Home
46.7% (649)
45.2% (126)
Away
53.5% (643)
35.1% (111)
By Period
Cirelli
Mercer
P1
50.1%
34.5%
P2
51.1%
43.4%
P3
48.5%
45.8%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |