Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Larkin 49.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Cirelli
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Cirelli
Larkin
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Cirelli
Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Cirelli
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
49.5% (562)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
51.5% (134)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (53)
41.2% (34)
-3.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cirelli is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Cirelli shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larkin
Home
47.5% (217)
48.5% (388)
Away
50.6% (245)
50.6% (342)
By Period
Cirelli
Larkin
P1
55.0%
52.1%
P2
44.8%
46.9%
P3
46.2%
49.2%
OT
80.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |