Anthony Cirelli vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 71-56 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 73.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 67.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Cirelli
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
71
(127 meetings)
56
71
Cirelli
Larkin
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
19
26
Cirelli
Larkin
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
26
Cirelli
Larkin
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
25
19
Cirelli
Larkin
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
51.7% (9,019)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
58.5% (2,125)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
50.2% (1,122)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larkin
Home
49.6% (3,763)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Cirelli
Larkin
P1
49.9%
52.7%
P2
48.8%
53.1%
P3
49.2%
52.1%
OT
51.6%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |